Thursday, October 19, 2023

Fwd: Tidbits



---------- Forwarded message ---------
From: Joyce Segal <joyceck10@gmail.com>
Date: Mon, Oct 16, 2023 at 2:47 AM
Subject: Tidbits
To: Kim Cooper <kimc0240@gmail.com>


 Rite Aid files for bankruptcy. The 61-year-old drugstore chain, which has more than 2,000 locations across the US, sought Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection yesterday, as it was unable to find the money to settle the hundreds of lawsuits it's facing over supplying opioids. Though larger than a mom-and–pop, Rite Aid is smaller than competitors like CVS and Walgreens—not to mention Amazon and Walmart, and it has struggled to keep up as sales have slumped. The company plans to restructure, closing several stores and installing a new top executive.

--
Joyce Cooper
CEO SunSmartPower
650-430-6243
SunSmartPower.com

Saturday, October 07, 2023

ANS -- How To Read This Chart

This is an article about data, and global warming, and graphs.  I really liked the first half of the article.  See what you think.  
--Kim



Read online

The Washington Post
How To Read This Chart

How To Read This Chart: It's the end of the world as we show it

Plus, learn when 'fajita' entered the dictionary!



 
 
Philip Bump By Philip Bump
 Email

Did a solar panel forward this to you? Sign up for yourself here.

One of the first articles that I ever had go viral on the ol' internet was for the website Grist. It was titled, "If you're 27 or younger, you've never experienced a colder-than-average month."

The predicate for the claim was monthly climate data released by the government that measured how much global warmth deviated from the average for the same month in the 20th century. It had been 27 years, I discovered, since any month was at or below that average.

That article was written in 2012. It is now the case that you have to be at least 38 to have experienced a colder-than-average month. I didn't actually check that, to be honest, but it doesn't really seem like I need to; the warmest years in recorded history have all occurred since 2015.

I can, however, add an additional bit of nuance. If you are 5 or younger, you've never experienced a day cooler than the baseline set for that day from 1979 to 2000. But more on that in a second.

ADVERTISEMENT
 

Normally, I like to spend this newsletter talking about interesting or unique data visualizations — ideally addressing a subject that is, if not amusing or pleasant, then at least not apocalyptic.

That will not describe this newsletter. We are going to kick things off with some straightforward charts presenting a dire picture of the state of the world. (If you are particularly impatient or averse to bad news, I can inform you that there is some fun stuff to follow. Hang in there!)

The Washington Post's climate team this week reported on new temperature data showing that the surge in warmth that began in May has continued — and accelerated. Reporter Scott Dance — every Post employee must have a last name that can be both a noun and a verb — shared a chart like the one below, showing how 2023 stands out relative to the past few decades. (The data here is from a European Union program called Copernicus.)

What's useful about a chart like this is how easy it is to see the outlier. And 2023 is very much that, surging out from the pack. 

ADVERTISEMENT
 

All those gray lines don't really matter, but it is useful to explain what's being measured here. For each month from 1979 to 2023, the average global temperature is compared with the average from 1991 to 2020. So if a line climbs above the zero point, that month was warmer than the average. September 2023, for example, was almost a full degree (Celsius, also known as "French temperature") over the average for Septembers in that time period. 

If we look at each month as a standard column graph, the trend becomes apparent — and September 2023 remains an obvious outlier.

Why is this happening? Largely because of global warming caused by human activity. Not entirely; there are specific reasons this year has been warmer. But let's not pretend this is some hard-to-solve mystery, like we're involved in the world's hardest game of Clue. It was the humans, in their power plants, with the coal.

Let's now come back to those daily temperatures I'd mentioned. Earlier this year, I shared a graph like the one below, illustrating how the global daily temperature had hit a record high. Well, the trend line for 2023 continues to show daily temperatures above every year from 1979 on. See how that red line sits outside all the gray ones — even above the black line, showing record heat from 2016? That's this year's anomaly.

This data is from the University of Maine's Climate Reanalyzer and it provides a baseline of the average temperature from 1979 to 2000. It's been more than five years since a day's recorded temperature has come in below that baseline. So far this year, every day has been at least 0.3 degrees higher than that baseline.

I added a bit of color to that graph to add another dimension of information: every red column shows a day on which the temperature was higher than the same day in any previous year since 1979. As you can see, the back half of the year is almost entirely red.

I chose the color red because it's the color of heat and fire. Just a little behind-the-scenes peek at the subtle metaphors I inject into my work.

 

Jump scare (b. 1986)!

Okay, that was grim. Let us now transition to a fun tool from Merriam-Webster, allowing you see what words first came into use in a given year. You will use this to see what words were first used in the year you were born, because this is what people do.

That is what I did, and these were the words.

A selection of words that all debuted in the same year. (Merriam-Webster)

A selection of words that all debuted in the same year. (Merriam-Webster)

I'm not going to say what year it is, though it's obviously going to be easy to figure out. But putting it here in this email seems like it makes it just a bit too easy for identity thieves, a criminal group that makes up two-thirds of this newsletter's audience. If someone is going to steal my identity and enjoy my double-digit bank accounts, they need to do some work.

Anyway, it's fun to play around with. You can learn that "global warming" came into use in 1953 and that the related phrase, "French temperature," was introduced in a newsletter in October 2023. Lots to explore.

 

Chartpourri (b. circa 2022)!

(I don't remember when I invented "chartpourri" as a term of art, so an estimate will suffice. Just a little behind-the-scenes peek at my limited long-term memory!)

Here are some things I learned this week from data visualizations.

I learned that the government-operated GOES satellite can detect and display fog layers. On this animation, shared earlier this week, you can see strips of fog sliding over the northeast.

(National Weather Service)

(National Weather Service)

I also learned from an old FiveThirtyEight (now ABC Presents 538™ or something) article that public sentiment on the economy leads media coverage, rather than following it. That article includes this chart, showing how coverage (pink) trails public views (black).

And I learned, thanks to my friend Brian Feldman's always-funny Substack, that the game "Thief Simulator" alternates between costing $20 and $2 and almost never lands anywhere in between. Just one or the other, into eternity.

"Thief Simulator" price changes. (Deku Deals via Bnet)

"Thief Simulator" price changes. (Deku Deals via Bnet)

I also learned, after reading that article, that I own "Thief Simulator," presumably having purchased it during one of those $2 downturns. According to Steam (a video game management application), I have played it for a grand total of 48 minutes.

As I recall, it mostly involves stealing things from houses and not stealing people's identities, so two-thirds of you wouldn't find it very interesting. But kudos to the developers for separating me from two bucks without even knowing what year I was born.


ANS -- HCR; Oct 6, 2023

Here is Heather Cox Richardson's report for today.  It starts by explaining what's going on with the fight for who is going to be speaker of the House, but then it goes on to talk about jobs and inflation and READ that part!  Good news.
--Kim


October 6, 2023 (Friday)
In a Washington Post op-ed today, House minority leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY) offered House Republicans a "path to a better place" than the "dysfunction and rancor they have allowed to engulf the House." Democrats have repeatedly offered both in public and in private to enter into a bipartisan governing coalition, he wrote, but under former House speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA), Republicans have "categorically rejected making changes to the rules [in order] to…encourage bipartisan governance and undermine the ability of extremists to hold Congress hostage."
Jeffries offered to work with willing Republicans "to reform the rules of the House in a manner that permits us to govern in a pragmatic fashion." Stating up front his willingness to negotiate, Jeffries wrote that the House "should be restructured to promote governance by consensus and facilitate up-or-down votes on bills that have strong bipartisan support." This would stop a few extremist Republicans from preventing "common-sense legislation from ever seeing the light of day."
Jeffries called for "traditional Republicans" to "break with the MAGA extremism that has poisoned the House of Representatives since the violent insurrection on Jan[uary] 6, 2021, and its aftermath."
"House Democrats remain committed to a bipartisan path forward," he wrote, but "we simply need Republican partners willing to break with MAGA extremism, reform the highly partisan House rules that were adopted at the beginning of this Congress and join us in finding common good for the people."
Jeffries is reaching out at a delicate moment for Republicans. While the minority leader's appeal to what is best for the country is an important reminder of what is at stake here, there are also political currents running under the surface of the speaker crisis. The speaker vote will force Republicans to go on the record either for or against former president Trump, a declaration most have so far been able to avoid.
There is enormous pressure from pro-Trump MAGA Republicans to stick with the former president and elect his chosen candidate, Representative Jim Jordan (R-OH), as House speaker. But Jordan is a very close ally of Trump's and can be expected to demand an end to investigations into the former president in exchange for doing even the most basic business—Trump, after all, demanded a government shutdown until the cases against him were abandoned. Throwing the speakership to him will mean facing the 2024 election with a fully committed Trump party and government dysfunction as the Republicans' main argument for why voters should back them.
That might play well in the gerrymandered districts of the extremists, but there are 18 Republicans who won election in districts President Biden won in 2020, and they will not want to run on a ticket dominated by Trump and Jordan. But a vote for the other declared candidate, Representative Steve Scalise (R-LA), means being on record against Trump and for a man who once described himself as Ku Klux Klan leader David Duke "without the baggage."
The other calculation those wavering Republican members of Congress must make is what they expect for the future. A number of the state maps that gave Republicans their slim House majority have been found unconstitutional and are now being redrawn in ways that suggest the Democrats might well retake the House in 2024. If that happens, having forged a working relationship with the Democrats would be far more useful than standing with the hard right.
It would take as few as five Republican votes to elect Jeffries speaker, which is an unlikely outcome, but it would also take just a few Democrats to vote present and lower the number needed to enable the Republicans to elect someone more moderate than their current option. Jeffries might well be signaling that the Democrats are willing to enable that outcome, but only for a Republican who is not a bomb thrower.
Republicans who are not committed to Trump may also be paying attention to what increasingly feels like a shift in the country's popular tide. Today's news provided more evidence that Biden's approach to the economy—using the government to invest in ordinary Americans—is working far better than the Republicans' approach of slashing the government to enable capitalists to organize the economy ever did.
Today the Bureau of Labor Statistics released yet another very strong jobs report showing that the U.S. economy added 336,000 jobs in September, almost twice what economists had predicted. The unemployment rate held steady at 3.8%. The biggest gains were in leisure and hospitality and in government. Average hourly wages went up 4.2% over the past 12 months; more than the inflation rate of 3.4%. The bureau also revised its employment statistics for July and August upward, showing that the employment in those months was up 199,000 more than the gains already reported.
The country's shift away from concentrating wealth upward also showed today in positive movement toward a historic settlement between the United Auto Workers and automakers. UAW president Shawn Fain announced that General Motors has agreed to include workers at plants making batteries for electric vehicles in the UAW's national labor agreement.
While the UAW wanted—and appears to be obtaining—higher wages, its leaders were especially concerned about what the transition to EVs would do to workers. Fain said that automakers had been planning to phase out the engine and transmission plants worked by union laborers and replace those jobs with lower-wage jobs in non-union battery plants. Until now, automakers had said it would be "impossible" to permit the battery plants to be covered by the union umbrella.
Fain called the agreement a "transformative win" and, in light of that agreement, announced that the UAW will not expand its strike into GM's most profitable plant in Arlington, Texas. Fain said he expects that Ford and Stellantis, which includes Chrysler, Dodge, Jeep, and Ram, will agree to the same deal, and labor scholars agree.
Trump visited a non-union plant in this dispute, where he attacked the transition to EVs as job killers for autoworkers. This new agreement makes it unlikely that autoworkers will back Trump over this issue.
Biden, on the other hand, weighed in on the fight by joining the UAW picket line.
All reactions:
4.8K4.8K
362 comments
1.2K shares
Like
Comment
Share