Monday, May 22, 2023

ANS -- Half of humanity eats it. Climate change is wrecking it.

I found this on Facebook, even though it's a NYTimes article.  It's about changes in rice growing because of global climate change. 
--Kim


Half of humanity eats it.
Climate change is wrecking it.
And around the world, people are finding creative new ways to grow it.
Rice Gets Reimagined, From the Mississippi to the Mekong
By Somini Sengupta, reporting from Arkansas and Bangladesh, and Tran Le Thuy, from Vietnam. Thanh Nguyen photographed in Vietnam and Rory Doyle in Arkansas.
May 20, 2023
Rice is in trouble as the Earth heats up, threatening the food and livelihood of billions of people. Sometimes there's not enough rain when seedlings need water, or too much when the plants need to keep their heads above water. As the sea intrudes, salt ruins the crop. As nights warm, yields go down.
These hazards are forcing the world to find new ways to grow one of its most important crops. Rice farmers are shifting their planting calendars. Plant breeders are working on seeds to withstand high temperatures or salty soils. Hardy heirloom varieties are being resurrected.
And where water is running low, as it is in so many parts of the world, farmers are letting their fields dry out on purpose, a strategy that also reduces methane, a potent greenhouse gas that rises from paddy fields.
The climate crisis is particularly distressing for small farmers with little land, which is the case for hundreds of millions of farmers in Asia. "They have to adapt," said Pham Tan Dao, the irrigation chief for Soc Trang, a coastal province in Vietnam, one of the biggest rice-producing countries in the world. "Otherwise they can't live."
In China, a study found that extreme rainfall had reduced rice yields over the past 20 years. India limited rice exports out of concern for having enough to feed its own people. In Pakistan, heat and floods destroyed harvests, while in California, a long drought led many farmers to fallow their fields.
Worldwide, rice production is projected to shrink this year, largely because of extreme weather.
Today, Vietnam is preparing to take nearly 250,000 acres of land in the Mekong Delta, its rice bowl, out of production. Climate change is partly to blame, but also dams upstream on the Mekong River that choke the flow of freshwater. Some years, when the rains are paltry, rice farmers don't even plant a third rice crop, as they had before, or they switch to shrimp, which is costly and can degrade the land further.
Two people carry large, white bags of rice on their shoulders next to a shoulder-high row of similar bags.
For Vietnam's small farmers, backbreaking labor.
A person wearing a traditional Vietnamese hat stands among rice grains spread across the ground.
Drying the crop in the Mekong Delta.
The challenges now are different from those 50 years ago. Then, the world needed to produce much more rice to stave off famine. High-yielding hybrid seeds, grown with chemical fertilizers, helped. In the Mekong Delta, farmers went on to produce as many as three harvests a year, feeding millions at home and abroad.
Today, that very system of intensive production has created new problems worldwide. It has depleted aquifers, driven up fertilizer use, reduced the diversity of rice breeds that are planted, and polluted the air with the smoke of burning rice stubble. On top of that, there's climate change: It has upended the rhythm of sunshine and rain that rice depends on.
Perhaps most worrying, because rice is eaten every day by some of the world's poorest, elevated carbon dioxide concentrations in the atmosphere deplete nutrients from each grain.
Rice faces another climate problem. It accounts for an estimated 8 percent of global methane emissions. That's a fraction of the emissions from coal, oil and gas, which together account for 35 percent of methane emissions. But fossil fuels can be replaced by other energy sources. Rice, not so much. Rice is the staple grain for an estimated three billion people. It is biryani and pho, jollof and jambalaya — a source of tradition, and sustenance.
"We are in a fundamentally different moment," said Lewis H. Ziska, a professor of environmental health sciences at Columbia University. "It's a question of producing more with less. How do you do that in a way that's sustainable? How do you do that in a climate that's changing?"
Farming shrimp on the left, rice on the right.
A risky balance: Rice, or shrimp?
In 1975, facing famine after war, Vietnam resolved to grow more rice.
It succeeded spectacularly, eventually becoming the world's third-largest rice exporter after India and Thailand. The green patchwork of the Mekong Delta became its most prized rice region.
At the same time, though, the Mekong River was reshaped by human hands.
Starting in southeastern China, the river meanders through Myanmar, Laos, Thailand and Cambodia, interrupted by many dams. Today, by the time it reaches Vietnam, there is little freshwater left to flush out seawater seeping inland. Rising sea levels bring in more seawater. Irrigation canals turn salty. The problem is only going to get worse as temperatures rise.
"We now accept that fast-rising salty water is normal," said Mr. Pham, the irrigation chief. "We have to prepare to deal with it." Where saltwater used to intrude 30 kilometers or so (about 19 miles) during the dry season, he said, it can now reach 70 kilometers inland.
Four people, working in pairs, heave white bags of rice from a conveyor belt onto towering piles in a dim, gray warehouse space.
Vietnamese rice exports help feed the world.
A man standing on a narrow, flat wooden boat uses a pole to maneuver it along a small channel, surrounded by a crop of rice.
A farmer surveys his field. Sometimes he grows rice, he said. Other times, shrimp.
Climate change brings other risks. You can no longer count on the monsoon season to start in May, as before. And so in dry years, farmers now rush to sow rice 10 to 30 days earlier than usual, researchers have found. In coastal areas, many rotate between rice and shrimp, which like a bit of saltwater.
But this requires reining in greed, said Dang Thanh Sang, 60, a lifelong rice farmer in Soc Trang. Shrimp bring in high profits, but also high risks. Disease sets in easily. The land becomes barren. He has seen it happen to other farmers.
So, on his seven acres, Mr. Dang plants rice when there's freshwater in the canals, and shrimp when seawater seeps in. Rice cleans the water. Shrimp nourishes the soil. "It's not a lot of money like growing only shrimp," he said. "But it's safer."
Elsewhere, farmers will have to shift their calendars for rice and other staple grains, researchers concluded in a recent paper. Scientists are already trying to help them.
Portrait of a woman in a red dress standing in an open doorway, holding a black plastic tray of plants.
Argelia Lorence, rice researcher
Secrets of ancient rice
The cabinet of wonders in Argelia Lorence's laboratory is filled with seeds of rice — 310 different kinds of rice.
Many are ancient, rarely grown now. But they hold genetic superpowers that Dr. Lorence, a plant biochemist at Arkansas State University, is trying to find, particularly those that enable rice plants to survive hot nights, one of the most acute hazards of climate change. She has found two such genes so far. They can be used to breed new hybrid varieties.
"I am convinced," she said, "that decades from now, farmers are going to need very different kinds of seeds."
Dr. Lorence is among an army of rice breeders developing new varieties for a hotter planet. Multinational seed companies are heavily invested. RiceTec, from which most rice growers in the southeastern United States buy seeds, backs Dr. Lorence's research.
Close-up view of three rows of tiny clear plastic slots, each holding several grains of rice and each slot numbered in sequence.
In Dr. Lorence's lab, hundreds of different kinds of rice.
Close-up photo of a dozen or so small, purple vials on a lab tray, each containing a single grain of rice.
She is focused on divining valuable genetic traits hidden in the many varieties.
Critics say hybrid seeds and the chemical fertilizers they need make farmers heavily dependent on the companies' products, and because they promise high yields, effectively wipe out heirloom varieties that can be more resilient to climate hazards.
The new frontier of rice research involves Crispr, a gene-editing technology that U.S. scientists are using to create a seed that produces virtually no methane. (Genetically modified rice remains controversial, and only a handful of countries allow its cultivation.)
In Bangladesh, researchers have produced new varieties for the climate pressures that farmers are dealing with already. Some can grow when they're submerged in floodwaters for a few days.
Others can grow in soils that have turned salty. In the future, researchers say, the country will need new rice varieties that can grow with less fertilizer, which is now heavily subsidized by the state. Or that must tolerate even higher salinity levels.
No matter what happens with the climate, said Khandakar M. Iftekharuddaula, chief scientific officer at the Bangladesh Rice Research Institute, Bangladesh will need to produce more. Rice is eaten at every meal. "Rice security is synonymous with food security," he said.
Floods inundate a rice farm in Humnoke, Ark.
Less watery rice paddies?
Rice is central to the story of the United States. It enriched the coastal states of the American South, all with the labor of enslaved Africans who brought with them generations of rice-growing knowledge.
Today, the country's dominant rice-growing area is spread across the hard clay soil near where the Mississippi River meets one of its tributaries, the Arkansas River. It looks nothing like the Mekong Delta. The fields here are laser-leveled flat as pancakes. Work is done by machine. Farms are vast, sometimes more than 20,000 acres.
What they share are the hazards of climate change. Nights are hotter. Rains are erratic. And there's the problem created by the very success of so much intensive rice farming: Groundwater is running dangerously low.
Enter Benjamin Runkle, an engineering professor from the University of Arkansas at Fayetteville. Instead of keeping rice fields flooded at all times, as growers have always done, Dr. Runkle suggested that Arkansas farmers let the fields dry out a bit, then let in the water again, then repeat. Oh, and would they let him measure the methane coming off their fields?
Mark Isbell, a second-generation rice farmer, signed up.
Close-up view of a white plastic irrigation pipe lying in the dirt beside a row of green rice plants.
New irrigation ideas can save water and cut methane emissions.
A man stands calf-deep in a rice field, reaching upward toward a tangle of metal poles and wires holding some measuring equipment.
Dr. Runkle: "A breathalyzer test of the land."
On the edge of Mr. Isbell's field, Dr. Runkle erected a tall white contraption that an egret might mistake for a cousin. The device measured the gases produced by bacteria stewing in the flooded fields. "It's like taking a breathalyzer test of the land," Dr. Runkle said.
His experiment, carried out over seven years, concluded that by not flooding the fields continuously, farmers can reduce rice methane emissions by more than 60 percent.
Other farmers have taken to planting rice in rows, like corn, and leaving furrows in between for the water to flow. That, too, reduces water use and, according to research in China, where it's been common for some time, cuts methane emissions.
The most important finding, from Mr. Isbell's vantage point: It reduces his energy bills to pump water. "There are upsides to it beyond the climate benefits," he said.
By cutting his methane emissions, Mr. Isbell was also able to pick up some cash by selling "carbon credits," which is when polluting businesses pay someone else to make emissions cuts.
When neighbors asked him how that went, he told them he could buy them a drink and explain. "But it will have to be one drink," he said. He made very little money from it.
However, there will be more upsides soon. For farmers who can demonstrate emissions reductions, the Biden administration is offering federal funds for what it calls "climate smart" projects. Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack came to Mr. Isbell's farm last fall to promote the program. Mr. Isbell reckons the incentives will persuade other rice growers to adopt alternate wetting and drying.
"We kind of look over the hill and see what's coming for the future, and learn now," said his father, Chris Isbell.

Saturday, May 20, 2023

Fwd: Tidbits



---------- Forwarded message ---------
From: Joyce Segal <joyceck10@gmail.com>
Date: Fri, May 19, 2023 at 6:46 AM
Subject: Tidbits
To: Kim Cooper <kimc0240@gmail.com>


The Biden administration has an ambitious goal to reduce the country's homelessness by 25% before 2025. In a move to accelerate those efforts, federal officials this week launched a new initiative to swiftly house unsheltered people in some of the nation's hardest-hit cities.

Editor's Note:

-- Another thing Biden won't get credit for!

Saturday, May 13, 2023

Fwd: Two Tidbits - Billionaires in Vietnam



---------- Forwarded message ---------
From: Joyce Segal <joyceck10@gmail.com>
Date: Sat, May 13, 2023 at 8:23 AM
Subject: Two Tidbits - Billionaires in Vietnam
To: Kim Cooper <kimc0240@gmail.com>


The US Supreme Court made headlines this week for a ruling written by Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson that uses the correct pronouns and name for a transgender woman.

With Wednesday's ruling, the court removed a procedural barrier for a non-US citizen to appeal a denial of protection from removal decision. It was a legal victory for Estrella Santos-Zacaria, a migrant from Guatemala who reached the US, fleeing persecution on the basis of her gender and sexual orientation and is seeking to stay in the country.

Throughout the opinion, which was joined by the court's three other liberal justices, including Chief Justice John Roberts, Justice Brett Kavanaugh and Justice Amy Coney Barrett, Ms Jackson uses "she" and Ms Santos-Zacaria's pronouns to refer to her, even though she was assigned male at birth. Ms Jackson also uses Ms Santos-Zacaria's chosen name instead of her dead name.
Justice Samuel Alito wrote a concurring opinion that did not misgender or dead name Ms Santos-Zacaria, which embattled Justice Clarence Thomas joined.
Legal scholars and observers of the court noted that not only did the opinion correctly gender Ms Santos-Zacaria, but also that it used more humanising language for non-citizens than past opinions have.

"The Court reads the statutory word "alien" to mean a non-citizen (in a footnote)," former US attorney Joyce Alene wrote on Twitter. "Non-citizen, not illegal alien or similar dehumanising term. 7 justices signed on to Jackson's decision in full & the concurrences don't mention it. This is huge progress on both fronts."

The court's ruling struck some as particularly meaningful, given that it comes from a majority-conservative body in the midst of a wave of anti-transgender bills in state legislatures. There have already been more anti-LGBT+ bills introduced in state legislatures this year than in any other year in American history.

The ruling also comes as Title 42, the pandemic-era restrictions on migration to the US, ended on Thursday. In preparation for the lifting of Title 42, president Joe Biden announced new measures restricting access to asylum earlier this week in a move that has frustrated progressives.

HANOI, May 12 (Reuters) - Vietnamese electric automaker VinFast said on Friday it will list in the United States via a merger with special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) Black Spade Acquisition Co (BSAQ.N).

The move comes after the startup last month said it had received a fresh round of funding pledges worth $2.5 billion from parent company Vingroup (VIC.HM), Vietnam's biggest conglomerate, and founder Pham Nhat Vuong, Vietnam's first billionaire and richest man. (There goes communism)

After the merger, the new entity will have an enterprise value of approximately $27 billion and an equity value of $23 billion, "assuming no BSAQ shareholders elect to have their Black Spade shares redeemed for cash as permitted," VinFast and Black Spade said in a joint statement.

The transaction is expected to close in the second half of 2023, it said, adding existing shareholders of VinFast will hold approximately 99% of the shares of the combined company.

--
Joyce Cooper
CEO SunSmartPower
650-430-6243
SunSmartPower.com

Thursday, May 11, 2023

Fwd: Climate - Tidbits



---------- Forwarded message ---------
From: Joyce Segal <joyceck10@gmail.com>
Date: Mon, May 8, 2023 at 7:39 AM
Subject: Climate - Tidbits
To: Kim Cooper <kimc0240@gmail.com>


111° F

That's how high temperatures reached in Vietnam over the weekend, the highest ever recorded in the country. Neighboring Laos and Thailand also recently shattered various temperature records as a brutal heat wave continues to grip Southeast Asia


--
Joyce Cooper
CEO SunSmartPower
650-430-6243
SunSmartPower.com

Sunday, May 07, 2023

ANS -- Why You Can Get Shot in America for…Knocking on the Wrong Door

This is good, but really depressing.  It's umair haque on a rant about The Breaking Point -- our civilization is collapsing. 
There's been a quote going around Facebook that says (approximately), "Competition is the law of the jungle. Cooperation is the law of civilization." Think about that as you read this. 
--Kim



Member-only story

Why You Can Get Shot in America for…Knocking on the Wrong Door

Meet America's Newest Institution of Social Collapse: the Doorstep Shooting.

umair haque
Eudaimonia and Co
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·

Image Credit

First, the 16 year old boy who was shot for…knocking on the wrong door. He was shot by an elderly man twice, including once in the head. Then, the young woman. Shot for…driving into the wrong driveway with her friends. A man took out a gun and opened fire, killing her. Then, finally, perhaps the most disturbing one of all. Cheerleaders. Who opened the door to a car that they thought was theirs. Realizing their mistake, they went to their car. The owner of the first car followed them. They rolled down their window to apologize — and…

The man came up to them. Roth rolled the window down to apologize and explain her mistake. The man pulled a gun and fired into the car, striking both girls, Roth told KTRK. Roth had a graze wound that was treated on scene. Washington was shot in the back and a leg.

"Payton opens the door and she starts throwing up blood," Roth told KTRK.

First responders flew Washington to hospital. Her spleen was removed and she is scheduled for more surgeries to repair damage to multiple organs, a coach said on Instagram late on Tuesday.

What on earth is going on here? Who in their right mind is…threatened…by…cheerleaders? Teenagers? Teenage girls? What possible explanation can someone have for following teenage girls for making the simple mistake of opening the wrong door…and shooting them point blank?

This is now happening so often that in the middle of preparing this piece, news broke that a six year old girl and her parents were shot for… her basketball rolling into a neighbour's yard.

What the actual…

There's been a lot of discussion about these events. I wanted to take some time to gather my thoughts. Three? That's a trend, not an anomaly. Three — now four — in a row. What's happening here goes like this.

America's seeing the rise of a new institution. An institution of social collapse. There are good institutions — marriage, European hugs and kisses on the street, the way French chairs at bistros face the street, so that you watch people…peacefully. And then there are bad ones. Implosive ones. Ugly ones. Ones that arise in the context of social collapse. Institutions in this sense means: everyday events that we begin to take for granted. You don't question — most don't — the way chairs at a French bistro face the street. It just is. That's an institution. This is one, too, but of a diametrically opposed kind.

America's pioneered many gruesome and strange institutions of social collapse. The mass shooting. The school shooting. "Medical bankruptcy," which doesn't exist in most other countries. Medical debt, student debt, lunch debt. People never retiring, never taking vacations, the way people have stopped saying hello to one another on the street, distrustful, resentful, fearful. These things don't exist much outside America — certainly not at mass, daunting, crippling social scales. And all these institutions haven't just accelerated during American collapse, as America's fallen apart, socially, economically, culturally, politically — and we'll come back to that — they are the everyday experience of living in a collapsing society.

This appears to be the rise of a whole new institution of social collapse. The doorstep shooting. Now, in America, you can get killed…just for knocking on the wrong door.

It's going to be hard for me to explain just how completely bizarre and disturbing that is, because by now, sadly, Americans are steeped in the institutions of collapse. Collapse is a slow burn. We adapt. That's not always a good thing, learning to tune it all out, shrug and get on with your day, normalize horror, terror, chaos, dysfunction. It gets you by, but it has a price, which is that you grow numb. To the bitter reality of collapse.

There's nowhere else in the world that this new institution is now rising. Nowhere. I can't think of a single other country, no matter how broken or ravaged, where people get killed just for knocking on the wrong door. Sure, there are violent nations, broken, unable to really police brutality. There, gangs and mobs and mafias rule. The men who shot these poor innocents — like the cheerleaders — weren't any those things. Not hitmen, and this wasn't a war over turf, power, drugs, property, or human chattel, as is so often the case in countries where brutality rules. They were just…random men. So this is a very different thing. It feels off, in a whole new way. And that is because it really is both of those things.

You are now witnessing the rise of a new institution of collapse. Think of how many Americans have had to adapt to. First, mass shootings, which became normalized, beginning in the 80s or so. Then school shootings began to happen, around the 90s — and grew to the point where they occur regularly today. Along the way, all these other institutions got normalized too — Americans had to just learn to live with healthcare that'd put them in lifelong debt, or education that would, never retiring, and so forth. This is a new one.

The doorstep shooting.

So. Why is this happening? Two explanations have been offered so far, and it's not that they're wrong…it's just that there's more to the story. The first, of course, is guns. I'm not saying guns aren't a problem. They are. A very big one. And yet there are plenty of nations in which guns abound, like, say, I don't know, Pakistan, or Colombia, or Mozambique, or Uruguay. Each of those nations has millions of guns. But if I knock on the wrong door there, I won't get shot to death. I'll probably just be offered…a cup of tea. Even gentle Canada has plenty of guns — one for every three Canadians. Did you know that? Knock on the wrong door in Canada? You'll probably make a friend. Nobody's shooting schoolgirls and teen boys in any of those places, despite, yes, their many problems. Only in America.

Let me emphasize that I'm not arguing against gun control. I'm saying that the story of why America is developing institution after institution of social collapse — right down to this new one, the doorstep shooting — goes deeper. It's about guns, but it's also about a society, and how it goes wrong. Wrong enough, that violence just begins to erupt…in parking lots…in once-peaceful neighborhoods…on doorsteps.

When you look at America, what do you see? I see a nation at breaking point. America's sick. I don't mean that as a moral judgment, the way a preacher would — I'm repelled, disgusted, etc. I mean it the way a doctor says it. Because when the social scientist in me looks at America? He sees a profoundly unwell society. Not in abstract ways, but very concrete ones.

America's at breaking point. You can see it in the statistics, and I mean all of themLet's take a bellwether example of how a nation feels. Its suicide rate. America has the highest suicide rate among developed countries, and it's the only one that's rising fast. There was a chart going around recently that pointed this out in detail. It pointed out that suicide rates in the U.S. have risen 30% in roughly two decades. Meanwhile, the research showing that depression and anxiety are on the rise is voluminous by now.

Breaking point.

More than half of United States respondents — around 55 percent — reported feelings of high stress the day prior to being polled, according to a Gallup press release, while 45 percent said they felt worried "a lot of the day," and 22 percent said the same of anger.

Americans' stress levels were significantly higher than the global average of 35 percent, leaving the U.S. tied for fourth (alongside Albania, Iran and Sri Lanka) in Gallup's ranking of the world's most stressed populations.

And that research is from before the pandemic.

You don't need research to tell you this, really. We all know it. We experience it. In America, you can see it on people's faces. Harried, haunted, scrunched up in anxiety, hollow with despair. Nobody says hi to each other in the States because, well, nobody has the time or energy to. I spend an hour talking to people — old ladies, neighbors, the gay couple who lives around the corner — in my little European neighborhood, because it's a luxury we can afford in social democracies. But in America? Nobody has a free hour — LOL — to spare for chit-chat. Life is too stressful.

It's stressful because just existing is a constant, perpetual battle. It's harder, of course, for some than for others — women, minorities, the LGTBQ, kids, all of who are under severe, constant attack. And yet the theme of American life is that it doesn't have a social contract. Not really. It has the absence of one. You know it by now — it's summed in all those cheesy, foolish code-words. Personal responsibility! Freedom! Bootstraps!! All that just means: it's every man, woman, and child for themselves.

No "safety nets" — that's what Americans are told to call them. In the rest of the world? They're just…the social contractIn Canada and Europe, having healthcare and affordable education isn't, LOL, a safety net…they're basic human rights. Even if they're under attack, even there, still the understanding of how societies work is very different. Americans don't have much in the way of public goods at all, and that's left them…

At breaking point. Think of American life. What else do we know about? 65% of Americans live paycheck to paycheck, unable to save, right on the edge, most of their lives. The edge of what? One mistake, and it's game over. You lose what little you have. The majority of Americans struggle to pay the bills. Life is a constant, bruising battle for existence, for subsistence. You wake up every day, and have to step into the arena, over and over again.




But what does that do to people?

It ruptures social bonds. And this, too, you can see amply documented in the statistics. What makes America unique? I can't think of another country where social bonds have just catastrophically imploded the way they did in America. Not my opinion — this finding goes back to Robert Putnam's 1990s work, which he summed up in his book, "Bowling Alone." He found America was experiencing a calamitous decline in social capital — ties and bonds between people, among social groups, and what they create, produce, reap, sow, are: trust, community, belonging, meaning, purpose, happiness.

I can't overstate this, either. America's the loneliest country I've ever lived in, and I've lived in a lot. The statistics show it — this stunning collapse in social bonds and ties — but the reality of living it something different. Step outside America, and it's genuinely surprising how social life is. You have to make several hours a day just for social time — have to. There's no choice, really. I can't walk down my European street and just ignore everyone saying hi to me — that'd be as weird as stopping for a long chat in America. I wasn't kidding when I said in most other countries, knock on the wrong door, and you'd be invited in for tea — unless you looked like a maniac, I suppose. American life isn't like that. Social bonds and ties have completely ruptured, because that is what "breaking point" means, formally, technically, in a precise sense.

So I don't just mean emotionally. I mean that Americans are at breaking point in a deeper sense — I'm not just playing therapist here, though of course, there's nothing wrong with that. I mean that America's broken as a society, ties and bonds ripped apart. Much of that is because economically, they cannot make ends meet. They go deeper and deeper into debt, while inequality skyrockets, insecurity soars, and downward mobility becomes the norm, and of course, that only adds to the anxiety and stress and anger of just spending another day fighting for some sort of existence, which then goes onto rupture and sunder social bonds. Breaking point. Collapse.

Now we're at a point where I think we can understand something about this grim new institution, the doorstep shooting.

American life is a zero-sum game. For me to win, someone else has to lose. This is the mentality of breaking point. People aren't colleagues, friends, neighbors, even citizens in the shared project of democracy and civilization. They're rivals, adversaries, enemies. They're taught they have to be that way — kid, you better learn how to be competitive! How else are you going to earn a living! You've gotta be ruthless, indifferent, calculating, individualistic, materialistic, in it for number one. And everyone else? Who cares? They're not your friends. And you're not here to make friends. You're here to win. The game of life. Because if you don't win? You die. Only the strong survive, kid. The weak? They perish.

And far too many Americans have bought into this mentality. Maybe not you, gentle reader. But this mentality? America's famous for it, around the world. And it's encouraged and stoked from day one. It's taught in schools, the Ivy League's famous for it, the American workplace is notorious for it, culture celebrates it even in all those trashy reality shows. It's reinforced at every point possible, really. These people aren't your friends. They're your enemies, adversaries, rivals. Trust no one. Social bonds and ties don't matter — all that does is you surviving. This chaos, this dystopia, this madness. No matter the price to anyone else. But then how does anything ever get better?

Put all that together, and it's not too hard to see why the doorstep shooting is becoming the newest — and grimmest yet — institution of American collapse. Here's a society that teaches people everyone else is a rival, an enemy. Someone to be fought, just for basics, like healthcare, retirement, a bit of money, a place to live. Subsistence and existence aren't rights — they have to be earned. Usually, by taking them away from someone else — consider how rights are being serially attacked by a more and more fanatical right now, from book bans to shredding women's basic freedoms.

Breaking point.

You can feel it in the air in America, these days. The breaking point thing is palpable. It's not that America's ultra-violent, not that it's ruled by gangs or mobs or mafias like other failed states. But there is now the sense that anything could happen. Almost anywhere. That you might just be standing at the mall, watching people go by, and — bang — some madman with a gun just opens fire. That you could be talking to a friend at a cafe, and some lunatic could attack you just because your conversation included the clearly controversial ideas that women should have inalienable right and kids should be able to read books. You can sense this kind of pregnant silence in the air, and you can't help but wonder: is there some lunatic, right around the corner, who's going to…open fire…scream abuse…shout a death threat…do something violent, brutal, insane, and perfectly crazy? For no real reason?

That's the feeling of breaking point. You can tell me you don't feel that, but I'd say: who are you kidding? There are more mass shooting than there are days in the year. The fanatics are taking away rights from people they think of as subhumans faster than anyone can keep track of. Every lunatic feels empowered and emboldened to do their worst. Nobody can make ends meet, unless you're, LOL, a psychotically greedy billionaire, and everyone's stressed out, depressed, anxious, and that's before you have to factor in being attacked by some violent fanatic with a gun, or just a Telegram account.

This is what statistics like ruptured social bonds and catastrophic plunges in social capital and topping the charts in negative emotions predict for societies. What they mean. What their message is. Eventually? Breaking point. People just…explode. So far, that violence has been channeled, succcesfully, by demagogues like Trump and DeSanits. But it can and will and does take more inchoate, sudden, explosive forms, too — when it becomes normalized, incentivized, manufactured so constantly not just by disinformation and Big Lies and demagoguery, but more deeply, by a society that's become a zero-sum game. You have to lose in order for me to win. Your life? It means nothing to me. None of us have the right to exist, and certainly not you. It's me or you. And I've got a gun. Watch out, kid. Watch out, cheerleader.

Don't come knocking on my door. All this violence in me? This hate? All these negative emotions, simmering away, unchecked by social bonds or ties, fueled by demagogues, sparked by decline, reinforced by hearing it's me or you, and I'm the superior one, and you're just the subhuman? Don't come near me, kid. You dirty, pathetic thing. You infection. You're the one who took my chances, opportunities away. I could have been somebody, if it wasn't for people like you. So don't take one step closer. Don't talk to me, don't look at me. I'm ready to explode. What's behind my door? Breaking point.

Umair
April 2023